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U.S. headline inflation at year end·closes in 41mo

Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2029 be above 0.0%?

YES means Above 0.0%

24h volume
0
58 lifetime
Open interest
16
+12 over 90d
Spread
19¢
4 × 0 at the touch
24h range
21¢ – 92¢
16 recent trades
Chance of YES
92%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
8%

costs 19¢

YES bid / ask
81¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 19¢
24h low 21¢24h high 92¢
Recent buying60% YES · 40% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢100¢volJul 30Sep 8

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2029 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

The initially reported value for December 2029 will be used. This market concerns the 12-month percentage change for December 2029, not the annual-average percentage change for the specified year.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 29 · 11:00 PM UTC
closes
Feb 1, 2030 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Feb 8, 2030 · 6:30 AM UTC
floor
0
ticker
KXUSCPIYEAR-30FEB01-T0.0
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 16 trades, 60% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
21d ago92¢1bought yes
26d ago91¢15bought yes
2mo ago75¢7bought yes
2mo ago87¢15bought no
2mo ago79¢3bought yes
2mo ago79¢1bought yes
2mo ago80¢1bought no
2mo ago80¢3bought no
2mo ago74¢2bought yes
2mo ago74¢1bought yes
2mo ago72¢4bought no
2mo ago84¢1bought yes
2mo ago63¢2bought yes
2mo ago65¢1bought yes
2mo ago62¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.