U.S. headline inflation at year end·closes in 65mo

Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2031 be above 1.5%?

YES means Above 1.5%

24h volume: 0; 25 lifetime
Open interest: 12; +0 over 7d
Spread: 96¢; 1,000 × 11 at the touch
24h range: –; 10 recent trades

Chance of YES

70%

A YES contract costs 97¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

30%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask

1¢ / 97¢

NO bid / ask

3¢ / 99¢

Recent buying4% YES · 96% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask1,00099¢
ask20098¢
ask1197¢

spread96¢mid 49¢

bid1,0001¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2031 is above 1.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.

The initially reported value for December 2031 will be used. This market concerns the 12-month percentage change for December 2031, not the annual-average percentage change for the specified year.

Settlement sources

Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index

opened: Jul 29 · 11:00 PM UTC
closes: Feb 1, 2032 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by: Feb 8, 2032 · 6:30 AM UTC
floor: 1.5
ticker: KXUSCPIYEAR-32FEB01-T1.5

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 10 trades, 4% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
1mo ago	70¢	2	bought no
1mo ago	70¢	3	bought no
1mo ago	70¢	1	bought no
1mo ago	72¢	4	bought no
1mo ago	72¢	2	bought no
2mo ago	70¢	6	bought no
2mo ago	70¢	5	bought no
2mo ago	71¢	1	bought yes
2mo ago	74¢	1	bought no
2mo ago	49¢	0.01	bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.