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U.S. headline inflation at year end·closes in 65mo

Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2031 be above 3.5%?

YES means Above 3.5%

24h volume
0
552 lifetime
Open interest
191
+0 over 7d
Spread
63¢
5 × 1,000 at the touch
24h range
–
31 recent trades
Chance of YES
94%

A YES contract costs 99¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
6%

costs 64¢

YES bid / ask
36¢ / 99¢
NO bid / ask
1¢ / 64¢
Recent buying84% YES · 16% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
50¢75¢100¢volSep 14Sep 19

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00099¢
spread63¢mid 68¢
  • bid536¢
  • bid9835¢
  • bid226¢
  • bid4811¢
  • bid13510¢
  • bid9592¢
  • bid1,0001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2031 is above 3.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.

The initially reported value for December 2031 will be used. This market concerns the 12-month percentage change for December 2031, not the annual-average percentage change for the specified year.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 29 · 11:00 PM UTC
closes
Feb 1, 2032 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Feb 8, 2032 · 6:30 AM UTC
floor
3.5
ticker
KXUSCPIYEAR-32FEB01-T3.5
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 31 trades, 84% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
23d ago94¢5bought yes
2mo ago60¢29bought no
2mo ago72¢9bought yes
2mo ago45¢9bought yes
2mo ago44¢0.97bought no
2mo ago44¢10bought no
2mo ago44¢0.62bought no
2mo ago44¢12bought no
2mo ago41¢8.97bought yes
2mo ago42¢18bought yes
2mo ago41¢14bought yes
2mo ago41¢15bought yes
2mo ago36¢70bought yes
2mo ago36¢47bought yes
2mo ago36¢28bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.