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U.S. headline inflation at year end·closes in 78mo

Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2032 be above 3.0%?

YES means Above 3.0%

24h volume
0
10 lifetime
Open interest
10
+6 over 30d
Spread
56¢
0 × 8 at the touch
24h range
43¢ – 55¢
6 recent trades
Chance of YES
55%

A YES contract costs 56¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
45%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 56¢
NO bid / ask
44¢ / 100¢
24h low 43¢24h high 55¢
Recent buying60% YES · 40% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢volAug 22Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask16089¢
  • ask41684¢
  • ask86482¢
  • ask1,19781¢
  • ask70479¢
  • ask43377¢
  • ask20076¢
  • ask856¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2032 is above 3.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

    The initially reported value for December 2032 will be used. This market concerns the 12-month percentage change for December 2032, not the annual-average percentage change for the specified year.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Jul 29 · 11:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Feb 1, 2033 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Feb 8, 2033 · 6:30 AM UTC
    floor
    3
    ticker
    KXUSCPIYEAR-33FEB01-T3.0
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 6 trades, 60% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    20d ago55¢1bought yes
    21d ago43¢4bought yes
    21d ago44¢1bought yes
    2mo ago35¢0.01bought no
    2mo ago12¢2bought no
    2mo ago13¢2bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.