galdor.xyz
Admin
U.S. headline inflation at year end·closes in 90mo

Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2033 be above 3.5%?

YES means Above 3.5%

24h volume
0
65 lifetime
Open interest
15
Spread
97¢
13 × 10 at the touch
24h range
–
21 recent trades
Chance of YES
3%

A YES contract costs 99¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 99¢
NO bid / ask
1¢ / 98¢
Recent buying61% YES · 39% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1099¢
spread97¢mid 51¢
  • bid132¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2033 is above 3.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.

The initially reported value for December 2033 will be used. This market concerns the 12-month percentage change for December 2033, not the annual-average percentage change for the specified year.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 29 · 11:00 PM UTC
closes
Feb 1, 2034 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Feb 8, 2034 · 6:30 AM UTC
floor
3.5
ticker
KXUSCPIYEAR-34FEB01-T3.5
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 21 trades, 61% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
12d ago3¢10bought yes
19d ago41¢1bought yes
1mo ago28¢1bought yes
1mo ago29¢0.15bought yes
1mo ago29¢1bought yes
1mo ago30¢0.29bought yes
1mo ago30¢0.2bought yes
1mo ago30¢0.2bought yes
1mo ago30¢0.2bought yes
2mo ago39¢3bought yes
2mo ago38¢1bought no
2mo ago38¢15bought no
2mo ago38¢5.48bought no
2mo ago39¢5.12bought yes
2mo ago39¢4.76bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.