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US Test scores in Math·closes in 16mo

Will US test scores in Math decline?

YES means No significant difference

24h volume
48
20.9k lifetime
Open interest
7,657
+80 over 7d
Spread
2¢
1.8 × 24 at the touch
24h range
32¢ – 56¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
34%+2

A YES contract costs 34¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
66%

costs 68¢

YES bid / ask
32¢ / 34¢
NO bid / ask
66¢ / 68¢
24h low 32¢24h high 56¢
Recent buying56% YES · 44% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
30¢40¢50¢60¢70¢80¢volSep 15Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1377¢
  • ask14575¢
  • ask42973¢
  • ask22270¢
  • ask7569¢
  • ask668¢
  • ask20035¢
  • ask2434¢
spread2¢mid 33¢
  • bid1.832¢
  • bid1428¢
  • bid20027¢
  • bid5026¢
  • bid3.425¢
  • bid2.4912¢
  • bid12711¢
  • bid7510¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If US average test scores for eighth graders experienced No significant difference in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 31, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXUSTESTSMATH-26-NSD
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 95¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 56% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4h ago34¢14bought yes
5h ago34¢5.62bought yes
10h ago34¢5bought yes
11h ago54¢1bought yes
11h ago56¢2.49bought yes
12h ago32¢1.51bought no
17h ago32¢3bought no
17h ago33¢1bought no
22h ago32¢14bought no
22h ago33¢1bought no
1d ago32¢36bought no
1d ago75¢0.13bought yes
2d ago75¢2.18bought yes
2d ago75¢13bought yes
2d ago64¢20bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.