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US Test scores in Math·closes in 16mo

Will US test scores in Math decline?

YES means Significant increase

24h volume
60
10.5k lifetime
Open interest
4,229
Spread
6¢
200 × 5 at the touch
24h range
8¢ – 21¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
21%−19

A YES contract costs 24¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
79%

costs 82¢

YES bid / ask
18¢ / 24¢
NO bid / ask
76¢ / 82¢
24h low 8¢24h high 21¢
Recent buying53% YES · 47% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6060¢
  • ask7558¢
  • ask457¢
  • ask5043¢
  • ask3442¢
  • ask3140¢
  • ask20026¢
  • ask524¢
spread6¢mid 21¢
  • bid20018¢
  • bid118¢
  • bid2.915¢
  • bid65¢
  • bid164¢
  • bid244¢
  • bid754¢
  • bid2273¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If US average test scores for eighth graders experienced Significant increase in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 31, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXUSTESTSMATH-26-SI
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 53% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9h ago21¢29bought no
9h ago21¢9bought no
9h ago21¢2bought no
12h ago9¢1.51bought no
17h ago9¢3bought no
17h ago10¢1bought no
22h ago8¢14bought no
22h ago9¢1bought no
1d ago40¢19bought yes
1d ago28¢75bought yes
4d ago19¢2bought no
4d ago18¢2bought no
4d ago19¢2.43bought no
4d ago19¢2bought no
6d ago19¢9bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.