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US Test scores in Reading·closes in 16mo

Will US test scores in Reading decline?

YES means Significant decrease

24h volume
31
27.6k lifetime
Open interest
9,184
Spread
6¢
253 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
50%−12

A YES contract costs 56¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
50%

costs 50¢

YES bid / ask
50¢ / 56¢
NO bid / ask
44¢ / 50¢
Recent buying71% YES · 29% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6278¢
  • ask9575¢
  • ask1073¢
  • ask2269¢
  • ask5862¢
  • ask20058¢
  • ask2257¢
  • ask556¢
spread6¢mid 53¢
  • bid25350¢
  • bid1339¢
  • bid1529¢
  • bid1527¢
  • bid1425¢
  • bid5507¢
  • bid1,4337¢
  • bid553¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If US average test scores for eighth graders experienced Significant decrease in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 31, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXUSTESTSREADING-26-SD
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 103¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 71% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3h ago50¢1.13bought no
7h ago58¢1.67bought yes
8h ago52¢4bought no
15h ago51¢11bought no
21h ago39¢13bought no
1d ago62¢7.85bought yes
1d ago62¢0.78bought yes
2d ago59¢1.64bought yes
3d ago54¢8.54bought no
3d ago60¢16bought yes
4d ago53¢10bought no
5d ago56¢0.23bought no
6d ago61¢3.19bought yes
6d ago61¢4.78bought yes
6d ago61¢0.23bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.