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US Test scores in Reading·closes in 16mo

Will US test scores in Reading decline?

YES means Significant increase

24h volume
55
7,510 lifetime
Open interest
4,558
+58 over 7d
Spread
7¢
200 × 5 at the touch
24h range
11¢ – 13¢
39 recent trades
Chance of YES
13%+2

A YES contract costs 13¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
87%

costs 94¢

YES bid / ask
6¢ / 13¢
NO bid / ask
87¢ / 94¢
24h low 11¢24h high 13¢
Recent buying33% YES · 67% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢20¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4082¢
  • ask2551¢
  • ask1544¢
  • ask2541¢
  • ask29218¢
  • ask2515¢
  • ask20014¢
  • ask513¢
spread7¢mid 10¢
  • bid2006¢
  • bid623¢
  • bid611¢
  • bid5501¢
  • bid2501¢
  • bid1,2500¢
  • bid2,5000¢
  • bid1,0000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If US average test scores for eighth graders experienced Significant increase in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 31, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXUSTESTSREADING-26-SI
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 109¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 39 trades, 33% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8h ago13¢29bought yes
8h ago13¢9bought yes
8h ago13¢2bought yes
8h ago11¢1bought yes
8h ago13¢14bought yes
4d ago11¢2bought yes
4d ago10¢2bought yes
4d ago4¢1.03bought no
4d ago10¢2bought yes
6d ago11¢9bought yes
6d ago11¢2bought yes
7d ago11¢9bought yes
7d ago11¢2bought yes
7d ago4¢1.63bought no
7d ago5¢11bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.