Turnout in US elections·closes in 14mo

Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 1450000?

YES means Above 1.45M

24h volume
0
17 lifetime
Open interest
12
+12 over 90d
Spread
95¢
5 × 100 at the touch
24h range
3¢ – 99¢
5 recent trades
Chance of YES
3%

A YES contract costs 99¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 96¢

YES bid / ask
/ 99¢
NO bid / ask
/ 96¢
24h low 24h high 99¢
Recent buying71% YES · 29% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 16, 4:00 AMSep 18, 4:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10099¢
spread95¢mid 52¢
  • bid5
  • bid7
  • bid105
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is above 1450000, then the market resolves to Yes.

The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.

opened
Aug 31 · 8:57 PM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
1450000
ticker
KXUSTURNOUT-MAYORLA26-1450000
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 5 trades, 71% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4d ago3bought no
4d ago1bought no
4d ago1bought no
6d ago99¢2.01bought yes
6d ago99¢10bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.