who will perform at venue·closes in 3mo

Will Ed Sheeran perform at Gillette Stadium in 2026?

YES means Ed Sheeran

24h volume
3,443
32.6k lifetime
Open interest
19.6k
+2,195 over 24h
Spread
1,639 × 1,026 at the touch
24h range
94¢ – 98¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
97%+4

A YES contract costs 98¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
3%

costs

YES bid / ask
97¢ / 98¢
NO bid / ask
/
24h low 94¢24h high 98¢
Recent buying68% YES · 32% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

85¢90¢95¢100¢volSep 20, 6:51 AMSep 21, 6:09 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask21699¢
  • ask1,02698¢
spreadmid 98¢
  • bid1,63997¢
  • bid94693¢
  • bid12492¢
  • bid1591¢
  • bid20082¢
  • bid6.4881¢
  • bid20080¢
  • bid20078¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Ed Sheeran performs at Gillette Stadium in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For purposes of this contract, "performed" means the person appears live on stage or in the official broadcast/stream and performs (including singing, dancing, DJ-ing, or playing an instrument), either as a scheduled performer or as a guest appearance during another artist's performance. Guest appearances where the person performs live music qualify. Festival appearances that include a live set qualify. The following do not qualify: appearing only as an award presenter or host, being in the audience without performing, having music played without participation, appearing in video montages or tribute segments without performing, pre-show or post-show performances outside the official event timeframe, appearances without performing (speeches, award acceptances, interviews, promotional events), canceled or postponed shows where no performance occurs in the time period, rehearsals and sound checks, or virtual participation via livestream into the venue.

opened
Sep 15 · 12:45 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVENUEPERFORM-GILLETTE27JAN01-ESHE
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will Ed Sheeran Perform at Gillette Stadium in 2026?.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 68% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago97¢373bought no
2h ago97¢407bought no
3h ago97¢62bought no
3h ago98¢1.01bought yes
3h ago98¢1.01bought yes
6h ago97¢25bought no
7h ago98¢25bought yes
7h ago97¢16bought no
7h ago97¢15bought no
10h ago98¢0.67bought yes
10h ago98¢24bought yes
14h ago97¢10bought no
14h ago98¢10bought yes
16h ago98¢31bought yes
16h ago97¢31bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.