galdor.xyz
Admin
who will perform at venue·closes in 16mo

Will Goose perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?

YES means Goose

24h volume
101
2,086 lifetime
Open interest
543
+1 over 24h
Spread
1¢
3,326 × 4,246 at the touch
24h range
71¢ – 71¢
30 recent trades
Chance of YES
71%

A YES contract costs 72¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
29%

costs 29¢

YES bid / ask
71¢ / 72¢
NO bid / ask
28¢ / 29¢
24h low 71¢24h high 71¢
Recent buying53% YES · 47% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
60¢70¢80¢volSep 20, 5:31 AMSep 21, 5:14 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask14894¢
  • ask20093¢
  • ask22692¢
  • ask18391¢
  • ask2077¢
  • ask2.0975¢
  • ask10074¢
  • ask4,24672¢
spread1¢mid 72¢
  • bid3,32671¢
  • bid71068¢
  • bid1063¢
  • bid948¢
  • bid4925¢
  • bid2,75224¢
  • bid20018¢
  • bid6,7303¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Goose performs at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

For purposes of this contract, "performed" means the person appears live on stage or in the official broadcast/stream and performs (including singing, dancing, DJ-ing, or playing an instrument), either as a scheduled performer or as a guest appearance during another artist's performance. Guest appearances where the person performs live music qualify. Festival appearances that include a live set qualify. The following do not qualify: appearing only as an award presenter or host, being in the audience without performing, having music played without participation, appearing in video montages or tribute segments without performing, pre-show or post-show performances outside the official event timeframe, appearances without performing (speeches, award acceptances, interviews, promotional events), canceled or postponed shows where no performance occurs in the time period, rehearsals and sound checks, or virtual participation via livestream into the venue.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 18 · 11:45 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVENUEPERFORM-REDROCKS28JAN01-GOO
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 30 trades, 53% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7h ago71¢50bought yes
7h ago71¢50bought yes
7h ago71¢1bought yes
9d ago71¢25bought no
9d ago71¢200bought no
9d ago71¢0.01bought no
9d ago71¢291bought no
14d ago55¢150bought yes
14d ago55¢25bought yes
14d ago55¢25bought yes
14d ago55¢200bought yes
14d ago57¢116bought yes
15d ago55¢123bought yes
16d ago56¢123bought no
16d ago56¢77bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.