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who will perform at venue·closes in 16mo

Will GRiZ perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?

YES means GRiZ

24h volume
436
4,955 lifetime
Open interest
1,042
+1,042 over 30d
Spread
1¢
3,081 × 2,027 at the touch
24h range
59¢ – 66¢
43 recent trades
Chance of YES
65%+4

A YES contract costs 66¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
35%

costs 35¢

YES bid / ask
65¢ / 66¢
NO bid / ask
34¢ / 35¢
24h low 59¢24h high 66¢
Recent buying64% YES · 36% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢volAug 28Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3084¢
  • ask28683¢
  • ask6582¢
  • ask1875¢
  • ask1,00170¢
  • ask5068¢
  • ask5067¢
  • ask2,02766¢
spread1¢mid 66¢
  • bid3,08165¢
  • bid22359¢
  • bid1054¢
  • bid449¢
  • bid239¢
  • bid20230¢
  • bid1,68529¢
  • bid15019¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If GRiZ performs at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

For purposes of this contract, "performed" means the person appears live on stage or in the official broadcast/stream and performs (including singing, dancing, DJ-ing, or playing an instrument), either as a scheduled performer or as a guest appearance during another artist's performance. Guest appearances where the person performs live music qualify. Festival appearances that include a live set qualify. The following do not qualify: appearing only as an award presenter or host, being in the audience without performing, having music played without participation, appearing in video montages or tribute segments without performing, pre-show or post-show performances outside the official event timeframe, appearances without performing (speeches, award acceptances, interviews, promotional events), canceled or postponed shows where no performance occurs in the time period, rehearsals and sound checks, or virtual participation via livestream into the venue.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 18 · 11:45 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVENUEPERFORM-REDROCKS28JAN01-GRI
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 43 trades, 64% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago65¢5.46bought no
5h ago65¢400bought no
5h ago66¢2bought no
7h ago65¢2bought yes
7h ago64¢5bought yes
12h ago59¢3.52bought no
14h ago59¢18bought no
1d ago61¢1.59bought no
1d ago62¢3.41bought no
1d ago63¢1bought no
1d ago62¢3.78bought no
2d ago61¢20bought yes
2d ago61¢100bought yes
2d ago61¢200bought yes
3d ago62¢200bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.