who will perform at venue·closes in 16mo

Will ILLENIUM perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?

YES means ILLENIUM

24h volume
238
11.2k lifetime
Open interest
3,717
Spread
5,047 × 1,415 at the touch
24h range
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
72%+7

A YES contract costs 73¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
28%

costs 28¢

YES bid / ask
72¢ / 73¢
NO bid / ask
27¢ / 28¢
Recent buying58% YES · 42% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask39193¢
  • ask33392¢
  • ask40891¢
  • ask4190¢
  • ask5589¢
  • ask2079¢
  • ask65174¢
  • ask1,41573¢
spreadmid 73¢
  • bid5,04772¢
  • bid1166¢
  • bid10565¢
  • bid10064¢
  • bid5061¢
  • bid1,00050¢
  • bid11145¢
  • bid2,05536¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If ILLENIUM performs at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

For purposes of this contract, "performed" means the person appears live on stage or in the official broadcast/stream and performs (including singing, dancing, DJ-ing, or playing an instrument), either as a scheduled performer or as a guest appearance during another artist's performance. Guest appearances where the person performs live music qualify. Festival appearances that include a live set qualify. The following do not qualify: appearing only as an award presenter or host, being in the audience without performing, having music played without participation, appearing in video montages or tribute segments without performing, pre-show or post-show performances outside the official event timeframe, appearances without performing (speeches, award acceptances, interviews, promotional events), canceled or postponed shows where no performance occurs in the time period, rehearsals and sound checks, or virtual participation via livestream into the venue.

opened
Aug 18 · 11:45 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVENUEPERFORM-REDROCKS28JAN01-ILL
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 58% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5h ago72¢127bought no
7h ago71¢17bought yes
7h ago72¢2bought yes
10h ago67¢22bought no
10h ago66¢18bought no
10h ago66¢33bought no
14h ago67¢2bought no
14h ago66¢17bought no
1d ago65¢33bought yes
1d ago65¢200bought yes
1d ago57¢199bought yes
1d ago57¢5bought yes
1d ago72¢200bought no
1d ago72¢27bought no
1d ago72¢1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.