who will perform at venue·closes in 16mo

Will John Summit perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?

YES means John Summit

24h volume
1,167
3,096 lifetime
Open interest
820
−80 over 24h
Spread
5,924 × 3,368 at the touch
24h range
34¢ – 48¢
23 recent trades
Chance of YES
37%9

A YES contract costs 38¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
63%

costs 63¢

YES bid / ask
37¢ / 38¢
NO bid / ask
62¢ / 63¢
24h low 34¢24h high 48¢
Recent buying52% YES · 48% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

20¢30¢40¢50¢volSep 20, 7:13 AMSep 21, 6:49 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,00870¢
  • ask21069¢
  • ask667¢
  • ask34464¢
  • ask1,05151¢
  • ask22546¢
  • ask11744¢
  • ask3,36838¢
spreadmid 38¢
  • bid5,92437¢
  • bid15011¢
  • bid2,05110¢
  • bid114
  • bid6,730
  • bid8,760
  • bid7,460
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If John Summit performs at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

For purposes of this contract, "performed" means the person appears live on stage or in the official broadcast/stream and performs (including singing, dancing, DJ-ing, or playing an instrument), either as a scheduled performer or as a guest appearance during another artist's performance. Guest appearances where the person performs live music qualify. Festival appearances that include a live set qualify. The following do not qualify: appearing only as an award presenter or host, being in the audience without performing, having music played without participation, appearing in video montages or tribute segments without performing, pre-show or post-show performances outside the official event timeframe, appearances without performing (speeches, award acceptances, interviews, promotional events), canceled or postponed shows where no performance occurs in the time period, rehearsals and sound checks, or virtual participation via livestream into the venue.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 18 · 11:45 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVENUEPERFORM-REDROCKS28JAN01-JOH
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 23 trades, 52% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6h ago37¢71bought no
11h ago37¢20bought yes
11h ago34¢5bought yes
11h ago34¢200bought yes
11h ago48¢71bought no
11h ago48¢299bought no
11h ago48¢50bought no
11h ago48¢200bought no
11h ago48¢50bought no
11h ago48¢1bought no
11h ago48¢200bought no
5d ago47¢24bought no
5d ago46¢100bought no
5d ago41¢5bought no
5d ago55¢200bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.