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who will perform at venue·closes in 16mo

Will Lorde perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?

YES means Lorde

24h volume
0
600 lifetime
Open interest
50
+50 over 90d
Spread
1¢
7,728 × 1 at the touch
24h range
–
11 recent trades
Chance of YES
8%

A YES contract costs 9¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
92%

costs 92¢

YES bid / ask
8¢ / 9¢
NO bid / ask
91¢ / 92¢
Recent buying50% YES · 50% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢volAug 29Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,46256¢
  • ask2,32355¢
  • ask1,12552¢
  • ask345¢
  • ask31831¢
  • ask7411¢
  • ask5,35710¢
  • ask19¢
spread1¢mid 9¢
  • bid7,7288¢
  • bid1016¢
  • bid2532¢
  • bid1,0351¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Lorde performs at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

For purposes of this contract, "performed" means the person appears live on stage or in the official broadcast/stream and performs (including singing, dancing, DJ-ing, or playing an instrument), either as a scheduled performer or as a guest appearance during another artist's performance. Guest appearances where the person performs live music qualify. Festival appearances that include a live set qualify. The following do not qualify: appearing only as an award presenter or host, being in the audience without performing, having music played without participation, appearing in video montages or tribute segments without performing, pre-show or post-show performances outside the official event timeframe, appearances without performing (speeches, award acceptances, interviews, promotional events), canceled or postponed shows where no performance occurs in the time period, rehearsals and sound checks, or virtual participation via livestream into the venue.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 18 · 11:45 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVENUEPERFORM-REDROCKS28JAN01-LOR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 11 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago8¢1bought no
5d ago5¢1bought no
9d ago13¢25bought no
9d ago13¢200bought no
9d ago13¢24bought no
9d ago13¢1bought no
14d ago9¢25bought yes
14d ago9¢25bought yes
14d ago9¢200bought yes
21d ago8¢49bought no
24d ago9¢49bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.