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who will perform at venue·closes in 16mo

Will Mt. Joy perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?

YES means Mt. Joy

24h volume
1,121
8,922 lifetime
Open interest
3,340
+3,340 over 90d
Spread
1¢
3,957 × 1,429 at the touch
24h range
15¢ – 79¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
74%+9

A YES contract costs 75¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
26%

costs 26¢

YES bid / ask
74¢ / 75¢
NO bid / ask
25¢ / 26¢
24h low 15¢24h high 79¢
Recent buying67% YES · 33% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢volAug 21Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Mt. Joy performs at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

For purposes of this contract, "performed" means the person appears live on stage or in the official broadcast/stream and performs (including singing, dancing, DJ-ing, or playing an instrument), either as a scheduled performer or as a guest appearance during another artist's performance. Guest appearances where the person performs live music qualify. Festival appearances that include a live set qualify. The following do not qualify: appearing only as an award presenter or host, being in the audience without performing, having music played without participation, appearing in video montages or tribute segments without performing, pre-show or post-show performances outside the official event timeframe, appearances without performing (speeches, award acceptances, interviews, promotional events), canceled or postponed shows where no performance occurs in the time period, rehearsals and sound checks, or virtual participation via livestream into the venue.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 18 · 11:45 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVENUEPERFORM-REDROCKS28JAN01-MTJ
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 67% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5h ago74¢50bought no
5h ago74¢10bought no
5h ago74¢1bought no
5h ago74¢1,000bought no
5h ago74¢60bought no
5d ago65¢28bought no
5d ago65¢28bought no
5d ago69¢229bought yes
5d ago67¢50bought yes
5d ago66¢20bought yes
5d ago68¢2.87bought yes
5d ago57¢50bought yes
5d ago57¢299bought yes
5d ago57¢200bought yes
5d ago57¢20bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.