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who will perform at venue·closes in 16mo

Will Nathaniel Rateliff perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?

YES means Nathaniel Rateliff

24h volume
188
9,116 lifetime
Open interest
2,260
Spread
1¢
5,729 × 3,137 at the touch
24h range
74¢ – 74¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
74%−2

A YES contract costs 76¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
26%

costs 25¢

YES bid / ask
75¢ / 76¢
NO bid / ask
24¢ / 25¢
24h low 74¢24h high 74¢
Recent buying59% YES · 41% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask50096¢
  • ask2,26395¢
  • ask38494¢
  • ask28593¢
  • ask25192¢
  • ask378¢
  • ask10177¢
  • ask3,13776¢
spread1¢mid 76¢
  • bid5,72975¢
  • bid36174¢
  • bid2,77227¢
  • bid45118¢
  • bid572¢
  • bid1,0001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Nathaniel Rateliff performs at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

For purposes of this contract, "performed" means the person appears live on stage or in the official broadcast/stream and performs (including singing, dancing, DJ-ing, or playing an instrument), either as a scheduled performer or as a guest appearance during another artist's performance. Guest appearances where the person performs live music qualify. Festival appearances that include a live set qualify. The following do not qualify: appearing only as an award presenter or host, being in the audience without performing, having music played without participation, appearing in video montages or tribute segments without performing, pre-show or post-show performances outside the official event timeframe, appearances without performing (speeches, award acceptances, interviews, promotional events), canceled or postponed shows where no performance occurs in the time period, rehearsals and sound checks, or virtual participation via livestream into the venue.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 18 · 11:45 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVENUEPERFORM-REDROCKS28JAN01-NAT
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 59% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
12h ago74¢187bought no
12h ago74¢1bought no
1d ago76¢189bought no
1d ago76¢297bought no
1d ago76¢27bought no
2d ago75¢20bought yes
2d ago75¢299bought yes
2d ago75¢1,000bought yes
5d ago75¢15bought no
5d ago77¢3bought no
5d ago77¢100bought no
5d ago76¢50bought no
5d ago78¢74bought no
5d ago76¢15bought no
5d ago79¢12bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.