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who will perform at venue·closes in 16mo

Will Rebelution perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?

YES means Rebelution

24h volume
0
9,838 lifetime
Open interest
4,512
+4,512 over 90d
Spread
1¢
5,150 × 3,862 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
83%

A YES contract costs 84¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
17%

costs 17¢

YES bid / ask
83¢ / 84¢
NO bid / ask
16¢ / 17¢
Recent buying51% YES · 49% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
50¢75¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00099¢
  • ask1,80998¢
  • ask5097¢
  • ask27496¢
  • ask3,86284¢
spread1¢mid 84¢
  • bid5,15083¢
  • bid1382¢
  • bid15672¢
  • bid10171¢
  • bid1362¢
  • bid4425¢
  • bid3,83924¢
  • bid1418¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Rebelution performs at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

For purposes of this contract, "performed" means the person appears live on stage or in the official broadcast/stream and performs (including singing, dancing, DJ-ing, or playing an instrument), either as a scheduled performer or as a guest appearance during another artist's performance. Guest appearances where the person performs live music qualify. Festival appearances that include a live set qualify. The following do not qualify: appearing only as an award presenter or host, being in the audience without performing, having music played without participation, appearing in video montages or tribute segments without performing, pre-show or post-show performances outside the official event timeframe, appearances without performing (speeches, award acceptances, interviews, promotional events), canceled or postponed shows where no performance occurs in the time period, rehearsals and sound checks, or virtual participation via livestream into the venue.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 18 · 11:45 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVENUEPERFORM-REDROCKS28JAN01-REB
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 51% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago83¢15bought no
1d ago83¢333bought no
1d ago83¢1bought no
1d ago83¢24bought no
2d ago83¢25bought yes
2d ago82¢5bought yes
2d ago83¢100bought yes
2d ago82¢10bought yes
4d ago80¢90bought yes
4d ago80¢87bought yes
4d ago79¢47bought yes
4d ago80¢41bought yes
4d ago79¢23bought yes
4d ago80¢35bought yes
4d ago77¢2bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.