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who will perform at venue·closes in 16mo

Will Widespread Panic perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?

YES means Widespread Panic

24h volume
0
4,813 lifetime
Open interest
354
+354 over 30d
Spread
1¢
4,737 × 5,411 at the touch
24h range
–
35 recent trades
Chance of YES
84%

A YES contract costs 88¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
16%

costs 13¢

YES bid / ask
87¢ / 88¢
NO bid / ask
12¢ / 13¢
Recent buying46% YES · 54% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 23Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00099¢
  • ask2,00698¢
  • ask5197¢
  • ask11896¢
  • ask7589¢
  • ask5,41188¢
spread1¢mid 88¢
  • bid4,73787¢
  • bid10186¢
  • bid5117¢
  • bid20016¢
  • bid5,00015¢
  • bid1,0001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Widespread Panic performs at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

For purposes of this contract, "performed" means the person appears live on stage or in the official broadcast/stream and performs (including singing, dancing, DJ-ing, or playing an instrument), either as a scheduled performer or as a guest appearance during another artist's performance. Guest appearances where the person performs live music qualify. Festival appearances that include a live set qualify. The following do not qualify: appearing only as an award presenter or host, being in the audience without performing, having music played without participation, appearing in video montages or tribute segments without performing, pre-show or post-show performances outside the official event timeframe, appearances without performing (speeches, award acceptances, interviews, promotional events), canceled or postponed shows where no performance occurs in the time period, rehearsals and sound checks, or virtual participation via livestream into the venue.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 18 · 11:45 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVENUEPERFORM-REDROCKS28JAN01-WID
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 35 trades, 46% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago84¢278bought no
5d ago41¢75bought yes
5d ago40¢5bought yes
5d ago38¢198bought yes
5d ago82¢1.39bought no
5d ago88¢33bought no
5d ago88¢200bought no
11d ago88¢1.39bought no
21d ago70¢1.39bought yes
21d ago66¢23bought no
21d ago66¢74bought no
21d ago66¢77bought no
21d ago67¢25bought no
21d ago67¢200bought no
21d ago67¢50bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.