WHO WILL PERFORM AT MSG·closes in 16mo

Will Bad Bunny perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?

YES means Bad Bunny

24h volume: 0; 591 lifetime
Open interest: 142; +0 over 7d
Spread: 95¢; 5 × 140 at the touch
24h range: –; 7 recent trades

Chance of YES

23%

A YES contract costs 98¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

77%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask

3¢ / 98¢

NO bid / ask

2¢ / 97¢

Recent buying5% YES · 95% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask20099¢
ask14098¢

spread95¢mid 51¢

bid53¢
bid1752¢
bid2501¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Bad Bunny performs at Madison Square Garden 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

For purposes of this contract, "performed" means the person appears live on stage or in the official broadcast/stream and performs (including singing, dancing, DJ-ing, or playing an instrument), either as a scheduled performer or as a guest appearance during another artist's performance. Guest appearances where the person performs live music qualify. Festival appearances that include a live set qualify. The following do not qualify: appearing only as an award presenter or host, being in the audience without performing, having music played without participation, appearing in video montages or tribute segments without performing, pre-show or post-show performances outside the official event timeframe, appearances without performing (speeches, award acceptances, interviews, promotional events), canceled or postponed shows where no performance occurs in the time period, rehearsals and sound checks, or virtual participation via livestream into the venue.

Settlement sources

opened: Jan 3 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes: Jan 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Jan 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXVENUEPERFORMANCEMSG-27DEC31-BAD

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 7 trades, 5% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
1mo ago	23¢	2.06	bought yes
1mo ago	22¢	5.92	bought yes
1mo ago	23¢	2.55	bought yes
2mo ago	17¢	195	bought no
2mo ago	18¢	5	bought no
2mo ago	18¢	0.92	bought no
2mo ago	25¢	0.92	bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.