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WHO WILL PERFORM AT THE SPHERE·closes in 16mo

Will Spice Girls perform at Las Vegas Sphere 2027?

YES means Spice Girls

24h volume
0
8,391 lifetime
Open interest
3,006
+3.07 over 7d
Spread
49¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
29 recent trades
Chance of YES
31%

A YES contract costs 58¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
69%

costs 91¢

YES bid / ask
9¢ / 58¢
NO bid / ask
42¢ / 91¢
Recent buying53% YES · 47% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask55083¢
  • ask5382¢
  • ask3580¢
  • ask6179¢
  • ask3.0775¢
  • ask9.5364¢
  • ask1059¢
  • ask558¢
spread49¢mid 34¢
  • bid59¢
  • bid58¢
  • bid5505¢
  • bid1,0004¢
  • bid1,1962¢
  • bid2541¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Spice Girls performs at the Las Vegas Sphere in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

For purposes of this contract, "performed" means the person appears live on stage or in the official broadcast/stream and performs (including singing, dancing, DJ-ing, or playing an instrument), either as a scheduled performer or as a guest appearance during another artist's performance. Guest appearances where the person performs live music qualify. Festival appearances that include a live set qualify. The following do not qualify: appearing only as an award presenter or host, being in the audience without performing, having music played without participation, appearing in video montages or tribute segments without performing, pre-show or post-show performances outside the official event timeframe, appearances without performing (speeches, award acceptances, interviews, promotional events), canceled or postponed shows where no performance occurs in the time period, rehearsals and sound checks, or virtual participation via livestream into the venue.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 19, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 8, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 8, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01-SPI
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 29 trades, 53% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6d ago31¢3.07bought yes
9d ago23¢17bought no
9d ago24¢5bought no
10d ago29¢5bought no
10d ago24¢32bought no
10d ago28¢24bought no
11d ago32¢75bought yes
15d ago32¢2.98bought yes
18d ago28¢50bought no
19d ago28¢2bought no
21d ago30¢9.53bought yes
22d ago27¢1.34bought no
24d ago32¢55bought yes
24d ago31¢5bought yes
28d ago25¢5bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.