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Veto override·closes in 3mo

Will Congress override Trump's veto before 2027?

YES means Before 2027

24h volume
200
13.6k lifetime
Open interest
3,877
Spread
7¢
5 × 300 at the touch
24h range
–
35 recent trades
Chance of YES
10%

A YES contract costs 12¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
90%

costs 95¢

YES bid / ask
5¢ / 12¢
NO bid / ask
88¢ / 95¢
Recent buying12% YES · 88% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,73153¢
  • ask2252¢
  • ask130¢
  • ask122¢
  • ask93420¢
  • ask10018¢
  • ask10017¢
  • ask30012¢
spread7¢mid 8¢
  • bid55¢
  • bid2005¢
  • bid1.151¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Congress successfully overrides a presidential veto before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 3 · 3:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVETOOVERRIDE-29JAN20-27
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 35 trades, 12% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
11h ago10¢200bought no
2d ago10¢200bought no
3d ago12¢70bought yes
3d ago11¢9bought yes
10d ago10¢200bought no
14d ago5¢4bought no
17d ago5¢5bought no
17d ago5¢4.31bought no
24d ago10¢200bought no
25d ago12¢9.76bought yes
25d ago11¢1.24bought yes
25d ago11¢5bought yes
25d ago10¢4.38bought yes
25d ago10¢11bought yes
25d ago10¢200bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.