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Veto override·closes in 28mo

Will Congress ever override Trump's veto?

YES means Before Jan 20, 2029

24h volume
0
17.1k lifetime
Open interest
3,505
+2,009 over 30d
Spread
2¢
1,935 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
18 recent trades
Chance of YES
35%

A YES contract costs 36¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
65%

costs 66¢

YES bid / ask
34¢ / 36¢
NO bid / ask
64¢ / 66¢
Recent buying95% YES · 5% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
30¢40¢50¢60¢volAug 22Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4,11274¢
  • ask4,12173¢
  • ask5172¢
  • ask2,03270¢
  • ask2,37361¢
  • ask3,33660¢
  • ask2459¢
  • ask20036¢
spread2¢mid 35¢
  • bid1,93534¢
  • bid20029¢
  • bid11121¢
  • bid1920¢
  • bid116¢
  • bid3012¢
  • bid55011¢
  • bid3,6514¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Congress successfully overrides a presidential veto before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 19, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVETOOVERRIDE-29JAN20
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 18 trades, 95% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago35¢75bought yes
27d ago34¢1.56bought yes
27d ago36¢1bought yes
27d ago42¢1,897bought yes
27d ago33¢136bought yes
27d ago31¢86bought yes
27d ago37¢2bought yes
27d ago41¢48bought yes
27d ago35¢200bought yes
27d ago38¢1bought yes
28d ago31¢14bought yes
28d ago30¢17bought yes
2mo ago29¢136bought no
2mo ago30¢1bought no
2mo ago30¢1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.