Will any federal court rule rules that Visa Inc. violated Section 1 or Section 2 of the Sherman Act on any claim for relief asserted by the United States?
YES means Before 2030
- 24h volume
- 0
- 0 lifetime
- Open interest
- 0
- +0 over 7d
- Spread
- 10¢
- 200 × 200 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
A YES contract costs 68¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 42¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask5099¢
- ask59093¢
- ask20092¢
- ask20068¢
- bid20058¢
- bid2006¢
- bid1,3065¢
- bid501¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If any federal court rules that Visa Inc. violated Section 1 or Section 2 of the Sherman Act on any claim for relief asserted by the United States in United States v. Visa Inc., No. 1:24-cv-07214 (S.D.N.Y.), or any appeal of that action before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liability on any one of the four claims for relief the United States pleaded is enough, and partial liability counts. An order that only sets or modifies a remedy does not qualify unless it also carries the liability holding. The ruling must: Be issued by a federal court in United States v. Visa Inc., No. 1:24-cv-07214 (S.D.N.Y.), or any appeal of that action Address the matter described by the specified judgment Be issued through a written order, opinion, judgment, or decision The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: The June 23, 2025 order denying Visa's motion to dismiss, or any later ruling on a motion to dismiss A consent decree, settlement, or voluntary dismissal, including a consent decree entered by the court A ruling in any other Visa antitrust matter, including the payment card interchange fee litigation Oral rulings from the bench unless reduced to a written order Tentative rulings that are not made final Administrative or scheduling orders
- opened
- Aug 20 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2030 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXVISADEBIT-DOJ30
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in Will a court rule Visa violated antitrust law on debit?.
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.