KXVISADEBIT·closes in 40mo

Will any federal court rule rules that Visa Inc. violated Section 1 or Section 2 of the Sherman Act on any claim for relief asserted by the United States?

YES means Before 2030

24h volume
0
0 lifetime
Open interest
0
Spread
5 × 200 at the touch
24h range
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 68¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 41¢

YES bid / ask
59¢ / 68¢
NO bid / ask
32¢ / 41¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask64096¢
  • ask54293¢
  • ask5091¢
  • ask3590¢
  • ask10389¢
  • ask5887¢
  • ask20068¢
spreadmid 64¢
  • bid559¢
  • bid20058¢
  • bid52
  • bid35
  • bid1,255
  • bid50
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If any federal court rules that Visa Inc. violated Section 1 or Section 2 of the Sherman Act on any claim for relief asserted by the United States in United States v. Visa Inc., No. 1:24-cv-07214 (S.D.N.Y.), or any appeal of that action before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Liability on any one of the four claims for relief the United States pleaded is enough, and partial liability counts. An order that only sets or modifies a remedy does not qualify unless it also carries the liability holding. The ruling must: Be issued by a federal court in United States v. Visa Inc., No. 1:24-cv-07214 (S.D.N.Y.), or any appeal of that action Address the matter described by the specified judgment Be issued through a written order, opinion, judgment, or decision The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: The June 23, 2025 order denying Visa's motion to dismiss, or any later ruling on a motion to dismiss A consent decree, settlement, or voluntary dismissal, including a consent decree entered by the court A ruling in any other Visa antitrust matter, including the payment card interchange fee litigation Oral rulings from the bench unless reduced to a written order Tentative rulings that are not made final Administrative or scheduling orders

opened
Aug 20 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2030 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVISADEBIT-DOJ30
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will a court rule Visa violated antitrust law on debit?.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.