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County vote percentages·closes in 14mo

Will Katie Hobbs receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Pima County, Arizona?

YES means At least 72%

24h volume
0
0 lifetime
Open interest
0
Spread
4¢
285 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 6¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 6¢
NO bid / ask
94¢ / 98¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10099¢
  • ask1498¢
  • ask4497¢
  • ask3096¢
  • ask29554¢
  • ask2653¢
  • ask2006¢
spread4¢mid 4¢
  • bid2852¢
  • bid1001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Katie Hobbs in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Pima County, Arizona is 72% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 19 · 12:00 AM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 3, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
floor
72
ticker
KXVOTECOUNTY-GOVPARTYAZ26PIMAKHOB-72
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.