Will David Jolly receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Hillsborough County, Florida?
YES means At least 52%
- 24h volume
- 0
- 0 lifetime
- Open interest
- 0
- Spread
- 9¢
- 5 × 200 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
A YES contract costs 62¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 47¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by David Jolly in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Hillsborough County, Florida is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.
- opened
- Sep 19 · 12:00 AM UTC
- closes
- Nov 3, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Nov 3, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
- floor
- 52
- ticker
- KXVOTECOUNTY-GOVPARTYFL26HILLSBOROUGHDJOL-52
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.