County vote percentages·closes in 14mo

Will Sherrod Brown receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Franklin County, Ohio?

YES means At least 70%

24h volume
0
2,885 lifetime
Open interest
2,826
+2,826 over 30d
Spread
5 × 300 at the touch
24h range
29¢ – 34¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
29%

A YES contract costs 36¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
71%

costs 71¢

YES bid / ask
29¢ / 36¢
NO bid / ask
64¢ / 71¢
24h low 29¢24h high 34¢
Recent buying0% YES · 100% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

25¢30¢35¢40¢volSep 20, 3:00 AMSep 21, 9:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Sherrod Brown in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Franklin County, Ohio is 70% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.

opened
Sep 19 · 12:00 AM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 3, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
floor
70
ticker
KXVOTECOUNTY-SENATEOHS26FRANKLINSBRO-70
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 0% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago29¢59bought no
1d ago34¢53bought no
1d ago34¢7bought no
1d ago34¢7bought no
1d ago34¢19bought no
1d ago34¢8bought no
1d ago34¢8bought no
1d ago34¢960bought no
1d ago34¢3bought no
1d ago34¢12bought no
1d ago34¢6bought no
1d ago34¢7bought no
1d ago34¢6bought no
1d ago34¢15bought no
1d ago34¢7bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.