Will James Talarico receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Tarrant County, Texas?
YES means At least 50%
- 24h volume
- 200
- 1,161 lifetime
- Open interest
- 856
- +856 over 7d
- Spread
- 3¢
- 100 × 200 at the touch
- 24h range
- 81¢ – 94¢
- 7 recent trades
A YES contract costs 96¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 7¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask10099¢
- ask20096¢
- bid10093¢
- bid20392¢
- bid5.232¢
- bid3431¢
- bid4930¢
- bid70929¢
- bid2,2903¢
- bid4,3102¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by James Talarico in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Tarrant County, Texas is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.
- opened
- Sep 19 · 12:00 AM UTC
- closes
- Nov 3, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Nov 3, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
- floor
- 50
- ticker
- KXVOTECOUNTY-SENATETX26TARRANTJTAL-50
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 7 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14h ago | 93¢ | 3 | bought yes |
| 14h ago | 94¢ | 197 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 82¢ | 105 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 81¢ | 456 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 81¢ | 95 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 81¢ | 105 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 81¢ | 200 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.