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Democratic VP nom·closes in 26mo

Will Hunter Biden be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

YES means Hunter Biden

24h volume
0
121.7k lifetime
Open interest
121.7k
+493 over 7d
Spread
2¢
9.71 × 53 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 5¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%

A YES contract costs 4¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 4¢
NO bid / ask
96¢ / 98¢
24h low 1¢24h high 5¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 19, 6:00 PMSep 21, 4:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Hunter Biden accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Apr 10 · 12:00 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVPRESNOMD-28-HBID
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago2¢0.64bought no
1d ago2¢0.58bought no
1d ago2¢8.49bought no
1d ago2¢0.47bought no
1d ago2¢0.2bought no
1d ago2¢0.46bought no
1d ago2¢8.42bought no
1d ago2¢0.83bought no
1d ago4¢2.34bought yes
1d ago3¢9bought yes
1d ago3¢1bought yes
1d ago3¢3bought yes
1d ago3¢2bought yes
1d ago3¢3bought yes
1d ago3¢7bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.