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Democratic VP nom·closes in 26mo

Will Ro Khanna be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

YES means Ro Khanna

24h volume
0
104.8k lifetime
Open interest
97.6k
Spread
1¢
101.4k × 5,382 at the touch
24h range
–
43 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 99¢
Recent buying98% YES · 2% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,05010¢
  • ask109¢
  • ask108¢
  • ask107¢
  • ask10.0k6¢
  • ask3004¢
  • ask1,3603¢
  • ask5,3822¢
spread1¢mid 2¢
  • bid101.4k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Ro Khanna accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Apr 10 · 12:00 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVPRESNOMD-28-RKHA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 94¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 43 trades, 98% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago2¢468bought yes
6d ago2¢4.67bought yes
8d ago2¢47bought yes
9d ago2¢94bought yes
9d ago2¢47bought yes
15d ago1¢15bought no
15d ago1¢3.5bought no
15d ago1¢210bought no
15d ago1¢5bought no
22d ago1¢10bought no
22d ago1¢5bought no
1mo ago2¢47bought yes
1mo ago2¢35bought yes
1mo ago2¢24bought yes
1mo ago2¢14bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.