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Democratic VP nom·closes in 26mo

Will Wes Moore be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

YES means Wes Moore

24h volume
166
73.8k lifetime
Open interest
63.8k
Spread
0¢
9.93 × 107 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
6%

A YES contract costs 6¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
94%

costs 95¢

YES bid / ask
6¢ / 6¢
NO bid / ask
94¢ / 95¢
Recent buying77% YES · 23% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4,2827¢
  • ask407¢
  • ask66¢
  • ask216¢
  • ask1356¢
  • ask116¢
  • ask1746¢
  • ask1076¢
spread0¢mid 6¢
  • bid9.936¢
  • bid2185¢
  • bid225¢
  • bid945¢
  • bid8195¢
  • bid1345¢
  • bid4405¢
  • bid445¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Wes Moore accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 4, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVPRESNOMD-28-WM
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 77% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4h ago6¢13bought yes
4h ago6¢30bought yes
4h ago6¢119bought yes
4h ago6¢0.17bought no
4h ago6¢3.73bought no
1d ago6¢20bought yes
1d ago6¢1bought yes
1d ago6¢60bought yes
1d ago6¢10bought no
3d ago5¢174bought no
3d ago6¢17bought no
3d ago5¢135bought no
3d ago6¢5.48bought no
3d ago6¢29bought no
3d ago6¢2.48bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.