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Republican VP nom·closes in 26mo

Will J.D. Vance be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?

YES means J.D. Vance

24h volume
90
208.8k lifetime
Open interest
135.9k
Spread
0¢
14 × 10.4k at the touch
24h range
6¢ – 6¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
6%+0

A YES contract costs 6¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
94%

costs 94¢

YES bid / ask
6¢ / 6¢
NO bid / ask
94¢ / 94¢
24h low 6¢24h high 6¢
Recent buying41% YES · 59% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If J.D. Vance accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 4, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVPRESNOMR-28-JDV
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 41% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8h ago6¢16bought yes
21h ago6¢75bought yes
1d ago6¢0.15bought no
1d ago6¢0.15bought yes
1d ago6¢78bought yes
6d ago7¢6.77bought yes
6d ago7¢4.98bought yes
6d ago7¢4.83bought yes
6d ago7¢10bought yes
6d ago6¢20bought yes
6d ago7¢2.31bought yes
6d ago7¢6.94bought yes
6d ago7¢2.31bought yes
6d ago7¢25bought yes
6d ago6¢671bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.