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Republican VP nom·closes in 26mo

Will Nikki Haley be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?

YES means Nikki Haley

24h volume
0
45.3k lifetime
Open interest
36.9k
+324 over 30d
Spread
0¢
201 × 683 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 2¢
22 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 99¢
24h low 1¢24h high 2¢
Recent buying93% YES · 7% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volAug 22Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,9873¢
  • ask262¢
  • ask5312¢
  • ask262¢
  • ask4,5012¢
  • ask1102¢
  • ask4,7052¢
  • ask6832¢
spread0¢mid 1¢
  • bid2011¢
  • bid1031¢
  • bid3341¢
  • bid1111¢
  • bid651¢
  • bid2251¢
  • bid1001¢
  • bid480¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Nikki Haley accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 4, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVPRESNOMR-28-NH
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 70¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 22 trades, 93% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago1¢1bought no
2d ago2¢58bought yes
4d ago2¢97bought yes
4d ago1¢97bought no
9d ago2¢97bought yes
10d ago1¢10bought no
11d ago2¢10bought yes
20d ago2¢50bought yes
22d ago2¢12bought yes
23d ago1¢71bought no
30d ago2¢19bought yes
30d ago2¢18bought yes
30d ago2¢22bought yes
30d ago2¢22bought yes
1mo ago2¢100bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.