Republican VP nom·closes in 26mo

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?

YES means Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

24h volume
0
17.9k lifetime
Open interest
11.9k
Spread
0.73 × 303 at the touch
24h range
25 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
Recent buying97% YES · 3% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 4, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVPRESNOMR-28-RFK
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 70¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 25 trades, 97% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8d ago6.39bought no
8d ago2,771bought yes
8d ago6.46bought yes
9d ago50bought yes
9d ago6.8bought yes
9d ago1.92bought yes
19d ago7.58bought no
19d ago2.42bought no
20d ago80bought no
20d ago10bought no
20d ago6.3bought no
22d ago12bought yes
28d ago0.96bought yes
28d ago291bought yes
1mo ago10bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.