Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that an extraordinary general election to the Senedd is called before Jan 1, 2028?
YES means Before Jan 1, 2028
- 24h volume
- 52
- 6,934 lifetime
- Open interest
- 1,160
- Spread
- 16¢
- 19 × 4.63 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 50 recent trades
A YES contract costs 19¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 97¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask1,09655¢
- ask27054¢
- ask55253¢
- ask452¢
- ask34023¢
- ask5422¢
- ask10020¢
- ask4.6319¢
- bid193¢
- bid1622¢
- bid1421¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If an extraordinary general election to the Senedd is called after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. A snap election is an extraordinary general election to the Senedd under section 5 of the Government of Wales Act 2006. A qualifying call must be announced by a person or body with legal authority to call the election and must specify an actual polling date. Requests for an election, a dissolution resolution, or failure to nominate a First Minister without such a call do not qualify. Ordinary general elections and constituency by-elections do not qualify.
- opened
- Sep 14 · 9:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 8, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXWALESSNAPPROV-28-28JAN01
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 50 trades, 43% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14h ago | 3¢ | 23 | bought no |
| 14h ago | 2¢ | 29 | bought no |
| 2d ago | 24¢ | 25 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 22¢ | 143 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 21¢ | 22 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 22¢ | 400 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 22¢ | 100 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 22¢ | 0.01 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 21¢ | 25 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 20¢ | 23 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 16¢ | 14 | bought no |
| 2d ago | 17¢ | 126 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 16¢ | 4 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 16¢ | 0.01 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 17¢ | 600 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.