Waymo IPO·closes in 15mo

When will Waymo officially announce an IPO?

YES means Before Dec 1, 2027

24h volume
0
311 lifetime
Open interest
224
+0 over 30d
Spread
5 × 500 at the touch
24h range
5 recent trades
Chance of YES
20%

A YES contract costs 26¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
80%

costs 81¢

YES bid / ask
19¢ / 26¢
NO bid / ask
74¢ / 81¢
Recent buying2% YES · 98% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢10¢20¢30¢volAug 22Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask88890¢
  • ask1689¢
  • ask10084¢
  • ask4680¢
  • ask1,11479¢
  • ask50026¢
spreadmid 23¢
  • bid519¢
  • bid50018¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Waymo confirms an IPO before Dec 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Dec 1, 2027.

opened
Jun 2 · 7:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXWAYMO-DATE-27DEC01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 5 trades, 2% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
30d ago20¢3.52bought no
1mo ago27¢3.52bought yes
2mo ago19¢13bought no
2mo ago22¢142bought no
2mo ago23¢1.27bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.