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Waymo IPO·closes in 16mo

When will Waymo officially announce an IPO?

YES means Before Jan 1, 2028

24h volume
178
3,215 lifetime
Open interest
888
+70 over 24h
Spread
6¢
500 × 500 at the touch
24h range
26¢ – 28¢
22 recent trades
Chance of YES
28%+7

A YES contract costs 28¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
72%

costs 78¢

YES bid / ask
22¢ / 28¢
NO bid / ask
72¢ / 78¢
24h low 26¢24h high 28¢
Recent buying21% YES · 79% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢volSep 20, 8:01 AMSep 21, 3:12 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask88892¢
  • ask5191¢
  • ask14084¢
  • ask1,39383¢
  • ask11982¢
  • ask1029¢
  • ask50028¢
spread6¢mid 25¢
  • bid50022¢
  • bid521¢
  • bid2001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Waymo confirms an IPO before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jan 1, 2028.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 2 · 7:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXWAYMO-DATE-28JAN01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 22 trades, 21% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3h ago28¢70bought yes
3h ago26¢7.89bought yes
3h ago26¢100bought yes
7d ago21¢4bought no
7d ago22¢5bought no
9d ago22¢2.89bought no
1mo ago22¢500bought no
1mo ago25¢2.03bought no
1mo ago24¢5bought no
1mo ago11¢5bought no
1mo ago24¢5bought no
1mo ago22¢5.03bought no
1mo ago23¢5bought no
1mo ago22¢1.36bought no
2mo ago22¢6.27bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.