World Cup·closes in 53mo

Will Belgium win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?

YES means Belgium

24h volume
655
9,087 lifetime
Open interest
5,476
Spread
863 × 963 at the touch
24h range
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 99¢
Recent buying70% YES · 30% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask43
  • ask531
  • ask65
  • ask10.0k
  • ask9,432
  • ask518
  • ask153
  • ask963
spreadmid
  • bid863
  • bid4,000
  • bid26.2k
  • bid2,500
  • bid3,010
  • bid3,595
  • bid4,000
  • bid5,000
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Belgium is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 19 · 10:15 PM UTC
closes
Jan 15, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXWC-30-BEL
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 70% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4h ago66bought yes
4h ago100bought yes
4h ago200bought yes
4h ago88bought yes
4h ago200bought yes
7d ago34bought yes
7d ago100bought yes
10d ago2,327bought no
19d ago10bought no
2mo ago1bought no
2mo ago1bought yes
2mo ago1bought no
2mo ago1bought yes
2mo ago1bought no
2mo ago1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.