World Cup·closes in 53mo

Will Greece win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?

YES means Greece

24h volume
0
2,990 lifetime
Open interest
2,990
+2,990 over 90d
Spread
39 × 1,203 at the touch
24h range
11 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
100¢ / 100¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢volJul 22Sep 19

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask40.8k24¢
  • ask2,07824¢
  • ask23.3k19¢
  • ask16719¢
  • ask2,85916¢
  • ask10.0k
  • ask10.0k
  • ask1,203
spreadmid
  • bid39
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Greece is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 19 · 10:15 PM UTC
closes
Jan 15, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXWC-30-GRE
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 11 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
23d ago100bought yes
23d ago39bought yes
23d ago48bought yes
29d ago200bought yes
29d ago100bought yes
29d ago300bought yes
29d ago124bought yes
29d ago211bought yes
2mo ago376bought yes
2mo ago1,292bought yes
2mo ago200bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.