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World Cup·closes in 53mo

Will Mexico win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?

YES means Mexico

24h volume
0
45.1k lifetime
Open interest
26.4k
+7,350 over 30d
Spread
1¢
971 × 856 at the touch
24h range
2¢ – 3¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%

A YES contract costs 3¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 3¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 99¢
24h low 2¢24h high 3¢
Recent buying78% YES · 22% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volAug 23Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,7005¢
  • ask4,6004¢
  • ask4,6004¢
  • ask2,1703¢
  • ask6,2903¢
  • ask6,5573¢
  • ask2,2623¢
  • ask8563¢
spread1¢mid 2¢
  • bid9712¢
  • bid4,0001¢
  • bid471¢
  • bid8,0001¢
  • bid8,0001¢
  • bid2,2221¢
  • bid2,5001¢
  • bid2,8571¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Mexico is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 19 · 10:15 PM UTC
closes
Jan 15, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXWC-30-MEX
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 78% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4d ago2¢73bought no
4d ago3¢73bought yes
6d ago2¢109bought no
6d ago2¢3.29bought no
6d ago3¢0.72bought yes
9d ago3¢2.06bought yes
9d ago3¢110bought yes
10d ago2¢1.26bought yes
10d ago3¢6.73bought yes
10d ago2¢1.18bought yes
11d ago3¢0.22bought yes
11d ago3¢209bought yes
11d ago3¢13bought yes
11d ago2¢1,000bought yes
11d ago3¢2,207bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.