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KXWC·closes in 53mo

Will USA win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?

YES means USA

24h volume
374
36.2k lifetime
Open interest
32.8k
Spread
1¢
4,116 × 1,545 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
3%+0

A YES contract costs 3¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 3¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 98¢
Recent buying96% YES · 4% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,0008¢
  • ask5006¢
  • ask2,0004¢
  • ask3,6004¢
  • ask13.7k3¢
  • ask6473¢
  • ask3,2003¢
  • ask1,5453¢
spread1¢mid 2¢
  • bid4,1162¢
  • bid2,0771¢
  • bid1,2501¢
  • bid106.0k1¢
  • bid1,0000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If USA is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened
Jul 19 · 10:15 PM UTC
closes
Jan 15, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXWC-30-USA
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 96% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago3¢374bought yes
4d ago2¢37bought no
8d ago2¢734bought no
8d ago3¢734bought yes
11d ago3¢222bought yes
13d ago3¢37bought yes
22d ago2¢117bought no
26d ago2¢0.04bought no
26d ago2¢11bought no
1mo ago3¢37bought yes
1mo ago3¢10.0kbought yes
1mo ago2¢300bought yes
1mo ago2¢1,103bought yes
1mo ago2¢428bought yes
1mo ago2¢250bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.