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World Cup Career Goals·closes in 205mo

Will Kylian Mbappe score at least 40 goals in the World Cup in his career?

YES means 40+ Goals Scored

24h volume
0
3,076 lifetime
Open interest
501
+0 over 7d
Spread
3¢
5 × 1,000 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
7%

A YES contract costs 8¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
93%

costs 95¢

YES bid / ask
5¢ / 8¢
NO bid / ask
92¢ / 95¢
Recent buying56% YES · 44% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,30255¢
  • ask75854¢
  • ask150¢
  • ask2345¢
  • ask130¢
  • ask9023¢
  • ask522¢
  • ask1,0008¢
spread3¢mid 6¢
  • bid55¢
  • bid1,0011¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Kylian Mbappe scores at least 40 goals in FIFA World Cup Tournament games during his career, then the market resolves to Yes.

Own goals scored by Kylian Mbappe do not count for purposes of this market. 3rd place game goals are included in total goals scored.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 20 · 11:52 PM UTC
closes
Jul 28, 2043 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jul 21, 2043 · 2:00 PM UTC
floor
39.5
ticker
KXWCCAREERGOALS-KMBAPPE-40
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 56% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8d ago7¢142bought yes
14d ago2¢3bought no
14d ago3¢5bought no
15d ago1¢506bought no
15d ago2¢100bought no
15d ago5¢585bought no
16d ago8¢4bought yes
16d ago8¢4bought yes
1mo ago10¢1.97bought yes
1mo ago10¢1bought yes
1mo ago10¢0.84bought yes
2mo ago10¢47bought yes
2mo ago10¢35bought yes
2mo ago10¢84bought yes
2mo ago10¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.