World Cup Career Goals·closes in 204mo

Will Kylian Mbappe score at least 40 goals in the World Cup in his career?

YES means 40+ Goals Scored

24h volume
0
4,394 lifetime
Open interest
1,608
Spread
6¢
1,000 × 4 at the touch
24h range
–
23 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%

A YES contract costs 8¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
96%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 8¢
NO bid / ask
92¢ / 98¢
Recent buying52% YES · 48% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4553¢
  • ask150¢
  • ask2345¢
  • ask130¢
  • ask9024¢
  • ask119¢
  • ask1,0009¢
  • ask48¢
spread6¢mid 5¢
  • bid1,0002¢
  • bid1,0001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Kylian Mbappe scores at least 40 goals in FIFA World Cup Tournament games during his career, then the market resolves to Yes.

Own goals scored by Kylian Mbappe do not count for purposes of this market. 3rd place game goals are included in total goals scored.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 20 · 11:52 PM UTC
closes
Jul 28, 2043 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jul 21, 2043 · 2:00 PM UTC
floor
39.5
ticker
KXWCCAREERGOALS-KMBAPPE-40
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 23 trades, 52% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago4¢84bought no
10d ago5¢4bought no
12d ago9¢1bought yes
12d ago9¢1bought yes
12d ago9¢1bought yes
12d ago9¢1bought yes
22d ago9¢104bought yes
24d ago9¢25bought yes
28d ago9¢1bought yes
28d ago9¢83bought yes
29d ago7¢1,000bought yes
29d ago5¢5bought yes
29d ago6¢0.03bought yes
1mo ago2¢4bought no
1mo ago7¢4bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.