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World Cup Qualifiers·closes in 53mo

Will Albania qualify for the 2030 Men's FIFA World Cup?

YES means Albania

24h volume
0
262 lifetime
Open interest
108
+108 over 90d
Spread
9¢
5 × 250 at the touch
24h range
–
10 recent trades
Chance of YES
44%

A YES contract costs 54¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
56%

costs 55¢

YES bid / ask
45¢ / 54¢
NO bid / ask
46¢ / 55¢
Recent buying51% YES · 49% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢volJul 22Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask7075¢
  • ask25054¢
spread9¢mid 50¢
  • bid545¢
  • bid20044¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Albania qualifies for the 2030 Men's FIFA World Cup main tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Important information: This market resolves Yes if Albania officially qualifies for the 2030 Men's FIFA World Cup under the qualification format in effect for that tournament. Any change to the tournament format, including an expansion or reduction in the number of participating teams, will not affect resolution; this market will resolve solely based on whether Albania qualifies for the main tournament. Advancing to a later stage of qualification without securing a place in the main tournament does not count. The market will resolve based on official confirmation from FIFA or the applicable continental confederation.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 21 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 15, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXWCQUAL-30-ALB
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 10 trades, 51% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
22d ago44¢10bought no
2mo ago56¢15bought yes
2mo ago54¢5bought yes
2mo ago55¢66bought yes
2mo ago53¢18bought yes
2mo ago30¢14bought no
2mo ago45¢5bought no
2mo ago52¢19bought yes
2mo ago54¢10bought yes
2mo ago45¢100bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.