World Cup Qualifiers·closes in 53mo

Will Ghana qualify for the 2030 Men's FIFA World Cup?

YES means Ghana

24h volume: 0; 7.38 lifetime
Open interest: 3.69
Spread: 8¢; 5 × 54 at the touch
24h range: –; 2 recent trades

Chance of YES

71%

A YES contract costs 79¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

29%

costs 29¢

YES bid / ask

71¢ / 79¢

NO bid / ask

21¢ / 29¢

Recent buying50% YES · 50% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask20080¢
ask5479¢

spread8¢mid 75¢

bid571¢
bid20070¢
bid2,2604¢
bid484¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Ghana qualifies for the 2030 Men's FIFA World Cup main tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Important information: This market resolves Yes if Ghana officially qualifies for the 2030 Men's FIFA World Cup under the qualification format in effect for that tournament. Any change to the tournament format, including an expansion or reduction in the number of participating teams, will not affect resolution; this market will resolve solely based on whether Ghana qualifies for the main tournament. Advancing to a later stage of qualification without securing a place in the main tournament does not count. The market will resolve based on official confirmation from FIFA or the applicable continental confederation.

Settlement sources

opened: Jul 21 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes: Jan 15, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by: Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC
ticker: KXWCQUAL-30-GHA

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 2 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
8d ago	71¢	3.69	bought no
2mo ago	80¢	3.69	bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.