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World Cup Qualifiers·closes in 53mo

Will Greece qualify for the 2030 Men's FIFA World Cup?

YES means Greece

24h volume
0
1,415 lifetime
Open interest
700
+700 over 90d
Spread
8¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
18 recent trades
Chance of YES
64%

A YES contract costs 73¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
36%

costs 35¢

YES bid / ask
65¢ / 73¢
NO bid / ask
27¢ / 35¢
Recent buying50% YES · 50% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
60¢70¢80¢volJul 23Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20074¢
  • ask5573¢
spread8¢mid 69¢
  • bid565¢
  • bid20064¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Greece qualifies for the 2030 Men's FIFA World Cup main tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Important information: This market resolves Yes if Greece officially qualifies for the 2030 Men's FIFA World Cup under the qualification format in effect for that tournament. Any change to the tournament format, including an expansion or reduction in the number of participating teams, will not affect resolution; this market will resolve solely based on whether Greece qualifies for the main tournament. Advancing to a later stage of qualification without securing a place in the main tournament does not count. The market will resolve based on official confirmation from FIFA or the applicable continental confederation.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 21 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 15, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXWCQUAL-30-GRE
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 18 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
22d ago64¢1.63bought no
22d ago65¢5bought no
2mo ago82¢1.32bought yes
2mo ago80¢68bought yes
2mo ago79¢68bought yes
2mo ago78¢66bought yes
2mo ago76¢66bought yes
2mo ago75¢66bought yes
2mo ago77¢68bought yes
2mo ago75¢66bought yes
2mo ago73¢100bought yes
2mo ago74¢66bought yes
2mo ago74¢65bought yes
2mo ago74¢1.32bought yes
2mo ago74¢6.63bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.