Will Chen Jining become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?
YES means Chen Jining
- 24h volume
- 0
- 6,406 lifetime
- Open interest
- 3,086
- +0 over 7d
- Spread
- 2¢
- 567 × 1 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 19 recent trades
A YES contract costs 6¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 96¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Chen Jining is announced as the first new non-interim leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves when the first new non-interim leader is officially announced by the party or credible sources. The person need not have taken office before the deadline date, only be announced as the incoming leader. Interim or acting leaders do not qualify unless they are subsequently announced as the permanent leader. If multiple persons are simultaneously announced as co-leaders, the market resolves proportionally. Leadership contests that extend beyond the deadline date without an announcement resolve to No. The announcement must come from official party channels or be confirmed by multiple credible news sources.
- opened
- Sep 24, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2045 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2045 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01-CJIN
Other outcomes in this event
Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 73¢).
Recent trades
Over the last 19 trades, 2% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22d ago | 9¢ | 3 | bought yes |
| 26d ago | 4¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 26d ago | 4¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 26d ago | 4¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 10¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 9¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 9¢ | 2 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 10¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 10¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 10¢ | 4 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 9¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 10¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 10¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 12¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 3¢ | 18 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.