XRP Max·closes in 2mo

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $6.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

YES means Above $6.00

24h volume
182
9,713 lifetime
Open interest
7,615
+545 over 7d
Spread
4¢
23 × 854 at the touch
24h range
6¢ – 9¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
9%

A YES contract costs 9¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
91%

costs 95¢

YES bid / ask
5¢ / 9¢
NO bid / ask
91¢ / 95¢
24h low 6¢24h high 9¢
Recent buying93% YES · 7% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢10¢20¢volOct 29Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask197¢
  • ask191¢
  • ask1225¢
  • ask1,04824¢
  • ask40010¢
  • ask8549¢
spread4¢mid 7¢
  • bid235¢
  • bid1274¢
  • bid1403¢
  • bid442¢
  • bid3151¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever above $ 6.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 22 · 4:46 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC
floor
6
ticker
KXXRPMAXY-XRP-26DEC31-600
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 93% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6h ago9¢181bought yes
6h ago8¢1.01bought yes
4d ago8¢0.73bought yes
4d ago9¢181bought yes
5d ago9¢0.09bought yes
5d ago6¢4.47bought yes
5d ago9¢178bought yes
7d ago6¢3.4bought yes
8d ago6¢5bought yes
11d ago11¢30bought yes
11d ago10¢14bought yes
11d ago9¢0.44bought yes
13d ago6¢12bought no
13d ago6¢1.21bought no
13d ago7¢82bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.